Category: Notifications

September 10, 2024 Report #4 as of 1640 hrs.

EOC Activation Level: Level 3 (Virtual Activation)
WebEOC Event Name: TW Sep 10-13, 2024
Crisis Track Event Name: TW Sep 10-13, 2024
Sources: NWS Jackson, NOAA

OVERVIEW:

• A significant risk for heavy rainfall (6-10” of rain) is forecast for Wednesday
  through Thursday night across southern and coastal counties including
  McComb, Poplarville, and Gulfport. This area faces likely flash flooding,
  numerous roads may be flooded, closed or washed out. Flooding of
  structures increasing likely and minor to moderate river flooding is likely.
• An elevated risk for heavy rainfall (4-6″ of rain) is forecast for Wednesday
  through Thursday night across much of central and southern Mississippi,
  including areas around Jackson, Vicksburg, Natchez, Brookhaven,
  Hattiesburg, and Laurel. This area faces likely flash flooding, possible road
  closures, and potential minor river flooding.
• A limited threat (2-4″ of rain) extends across the remainder of the state,
  including Tupelo, Laurel, Yazoo City, Greenville, Greenwood, Eupora,
  Columbus, Kosciusko, Clarksdale, Tunica, Southaven, Oxford, Corinth,
  Philadelphia, and Meridian with localized flash flooding possible, particularly
  in low-lying and urban areas.
• An elevated wind threat from Tropical Storm Francine is expected
  Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon in the southwestern
  corner and coastal areas of Mississippi, including Natchez, McComb,
  Brookhaven, Poplarville and Gulfport. This elevated threat includes wind
  gusts of 45-55 mph, with potential for widespread downed trees and
  powerlines, some damage to roofs and homes, many blocked roads, and
  power outages possibly lasting several days. The rest of the state, including
  Jackson, Greenville, Tupelo, and the Gulf Coast, faces a limited wind threat with gusts of 30-45 mph, some downed trees and powerlines, some blocked
  roads, and possible power outages for 1-2 days.
• A slight risk for severe storms is forecast for Wednesday afternoon and night
  across coastal Mississippi, including Hattiesburg, Gulfport, and Poplarville.
  Isolated severe storms with damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are
  possible. A marginal risk extends across eastern portion of the state,
  including Tupelo, Columbus, Philadelphia, Meridian, Magee, Laurel, and
  McComb, with the possibility of isolated severe storms, a few tornadoes, and
  damaging wind gusts. The timing for severe weather is mainly late
  Wednesday afternoon after 5pm into early Thursday morning.

TIMING:Wednesday through Thursday night.

RAINFALL (MS): https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

• 4-7″ of rain is expected across much of central and southern Mississippi,
  with locally higher amounts possible. This covers a larger area than just
  southern Mississippi.
• 2-4″ of rain is forecast for northern Mississippi and the southeastern corner
  of the state, also with locally higher amounts possible.
  FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL (MS): https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
• Flash flooding is likely in the elevated threat area. This includes the
  possibility of some roads being flooded/closed and some structures possibly
  threatened with inundation.
• In the limited threat area localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
  low-lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is possible in both threat
  areas.

WATCHES/WARNINGS (MS): https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/ms.php?x=1

• Tropical Storm Warning – Until Further Notice: Lincoln, Pearl River,
  Southern Jackson, Southern Harrison, Southern Hancock,
  Northern Jackson, Walthall, Southern Harrison, Pike, Amite, Northern
  Hancock, Northern Harrison, Wilkinson, Southern Hancock, Stone
• Storm Surge Warning – Until Further Notice: Southern Harrison, Southern
  Jackson
• Tropical Storm Watch – Until Further Notice: Greene, Perry, Adams,
  Forrest, Franklin, Lamar, Copiah, Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson,
  Jefferson, Claiborne, Marion, Lawrence, Lincoln
• Flood Watch – Until 9/12/2024 @07:00 CDT – Wilkinson, Amite, Pike,
  Walthall, Pearl River, Northern Hancock, Northern Harrison, Northern
  Jackson, Southern Hancock, Southern Harrison, Southern Jackson,
• Flood Watch – Until 9/12/2024 @ 1300 CDT: Madison, Leake, Hinds,
  Rankin, Scott, Newton, Claiborne, Copiah, Simpson, Smith, Jasper, Adams,
  Jefferson, Franklin, Lincoln, Lawrence, Jefferson Davis, Covington, Jones,
  Marion, Lamar, Forrest, Wayne, Perry, Greene, Stone, George
• Flood Warning – Until 9/12/2024 @ 0700 CDT: Hancock
• Flood Warning – Until 9/13/2024: Harrison, Pearl River, Pike
• Flood Warning – Until 9/14/2024: Harrison
• Tropical Cyclone Statement – Until 9/10/2024@18:30 CDT: Wilkinson,
  Amite, Pike, Walthall, Pearl River, Northern Hancock, Northern Harrison,
  Northern Jackson, Southern Hancock, Southern Harrison, Southern Jackson,
  Claiborne, Copiah, Simpson, Jefferson, Adams, Franklin, Lincoln, Lawrence,
  Jefferson Davis, Marion, Lamar